Jan. 3rd, 2012

bedsitter23: (Default)
One more day of madness, so let's bang this out.

The Des Moines Register released the results of their poll over the weekend, which should be the last word on everything until the real results come in.

Romney 24%
Paul 22%
Santorum 15%
Gingrich 12%
Perry 11%
Bachmann 7%
Huntsman 2%

However, judging from the sidewalks near work, Rick Perry was all that was happening.  Perry signs were everywhere.  I found the culprits at the local fast food joint (two guys in a truck with a Perry sticker and a Texas licence plate).  So much for a outcry of fervent Perry support in West Des Moines.  I planned on snapping some pics for the blog, but the signs were gone as quickly as they were put up.

A lot of coverage has been given to Santorum's rise.  One can't help but wonder if Tim Pawlenty would have seen such a last minute surge.

Santorum gets credit for being the last candidate standing.  Gingrich has been bashed in by negative ads for the last month.  Paul has had a pretty clear run, but recently, tv ads are airing that say Paul may just outlaw marriage.  Also, I have been inundated by online ads that suggest we are closer to legalizing gay marriage under a Paul administration than we are under Obama (an interesting thought, possibly accurate, but of course the ad buyers mean this as a bad thing).

Santorum has been free from attacks, as he has been a nonentity until a matter of the last few days.

He made a misstep with a "Rick doesn't care about black people" moment.  Still, I will give credit that I do think the "I don't want to make black lives better" quote is a bit out of context.

The only other Santorum misstep I can think of is that Orange hunting suit.

Santorum suffers from that disease mostly only seen on Northeastern liberals.



He looks like he has never been outside in his whole life.  Rick Perry may be silly with his Carharts and exaggerated Dubyaisms, but nothing is worse than being a Santoradork.  He makes Mitt Romney look like Clint Eastwood.

Santorum was out hunting with Steve King, trying to get the conservative Iowan icon's endorsement.  King gave a resounding nonendorsement in which he states he likes a little bit of everybody, but he's not putting his name behind anyone.  He says Bachmann is the only candidate he likes on all points, but it's doubtful she gets any momentum from the way King presented it.

Bachmann, of course, is likely to be the only candidate to drop out the day after Iowa.  She put everything into Iowa, and it's probably her lack of traction anywhere else that did her in.

Otherwise, it's all about tempering expectations.

Paul is getting rock star crowds, but even he says he can't picture Ron Paul in the White House.

Still, Paul has always been about causing a revolution. 

Better than Newt Gingrich, who says he's not winning here.

Newton has been spending all day trying to override the headline news story he created.  He has clarified that he means he took a lot of damage from negative ads.  What his campaign didn't mean (but what everyone heard) was "Stay home tonight.  Save some gas.  We are not going to win".

So, there it is- one last dispatch from the front lines before my neighbors go to make their decision.

bedsitter23: (Default)
I just got a text from the Rick Santorum campaign  "Vote for Rick Santorum at your local Republican Caucus, he is the man you can count on and trust".

Outside of any obvious observations like I would never vote for that guy or that I am registered Democrat, let's look at a more general point.

The Republican caucus is pretty basic.  You got to show up at your precinct location at a certain time and you just vote for your preferred candidate.

The time of the caucus is firm - 7pm, and no one can enter after the fact.

The time I received the text was 8:37.
bedsitter23: (Default)
The fun part of the caucus is anyone can get up and put in a good word for the candidates.

My town had a star-studded affair featuring Ron Paul himself, Michele Bachmann's son and daughter, Rick Perry's son, Sen. John Thune and the commander in the real-life "Black hawk Down" (a Gingrich supporter).

My favorite moment of tonight will be the cut to a precinct where a 20-year old "slacker" type took the mic and said "I support Newt Gingrich.  Even though he has been married three times, he is a strong defender of marriage.  He is still stays in touch with most of his kids..." before being cut off.

It was a little bit of "that guy" syndrome ( I would joke about doing that, but he only ended up looking like a tool), but so far with all the Occupy talk, the only noise I have heard from tonight.

Halfway through, here is how we are sizing up before people (like me) start to turn in.

Santorum 24%
Romney 24%
Paul 22%
Gingrich 13%
Perry 10%
Bachmann 6%
Huntsman 1%

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