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PencePence by Tom Lobianco

My rating: 5 of 5 stars


Who is Mike Pence?

Liberals may wonder if he is a shady Dick Cheney type character running the show behind the scenes. Readers of Wolff's Fire and Fury may wonder if Pence fits in at all, since he was a non-character in the book about Bannon, JarVanka, and the GOP's influence on Trump.

The answer is he's probably just a regular Vice President. This would be a nice companion piece to Fire and Fury if you were so inclined. Like that book, it is very readable, and can be read quickly. The benefit to this book is that LoBianco has been following Pence for years, and it also doesn't suffer from being a rush publishing job like Wolff's.

The two words in the title define Pence. I get from LoBianco that Pence's religious conviction is real. While it seems the most vocal about their religious beliefs almost certainly seem the most to be caught in scandal, Pence seems legit. Pence may even be likeable. One wonders if he had taken a different route that he might grow into the role of beloved political icon like Bob Dole.

The other part is as important, if not overriding. Pence is ambitious, and his ultimate goal is the White House. I think Pence at times, chose the path of inaction to not chance risking that road. In some ways, I think his reputation as a homophobe is a direct result of him trying to be all things to all people, and what ensued from that decision.

Pence is as unlikely as a success story (surely Mitch Daniels had better chances) but he's played it well. Surely, some his choices that seem like he was hanging back, served him better than appearing ambitious. Indeed, the highpoint is when Pence is named VP- sort of the ultimate "I am not going to do anything one way or the other and Let God handle it".

Although I don't know everyone will be excited to read about Pence. This is a solid book. It is very readable, and though Conservatives will be bound to attack it, it is quite evenhanded. For politicos, the inside look at Indiana politics is as good as it gets for books like this. There are plenty of insightful (and sometimes early) cameos like Donald Trump, Newt Gingrich, Chris Christie, Rush Limbaugh, John Boehner and many more.

After the excitement of the Veepstakes, Pence might be the most important running mate selection in some time. As the book wraps up, the two sides of Pence come into direct competition. Even then, Pence must not rock the boat to jeopardize what may be next for him. It may be depressing to Dems and NeverTrumpers, but that seems to be where he has landed, and if you have been paying attention the whole time, not surprising.

Recommended to all readers of political non-fiction.



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As always, follow my political blog at iowaguy2020.blogspot.com/

Take a look at any poll (or the wikipedia page) and you may notice a lot of Democrats are running for President.

Seemingly, the only people not running on the Democrat side is Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton and Jeff Merkley (who made his decision after Bernie Sanders announced his run.  I can't help but think that was not coincidental).

As far as serious contenders go, I count 15.  Indeed, there are a good 5-10 potential candidates who may still throw their hat in the ring.

That's quite a few.

The Des Moines Register put the issue on the front page.

Included was:

- A quote from Mitch Henry from the Asian & Latino Coalition - "..when you're approaching 20 (candidates), we don't have the people power, the resources continually do this week in and week out"

-The 14 candidates recognized by the Register have made 200 appearances in Iowa since January 1 (comparable to about 90 events in the same time frame in 2011 and 2015, the similar time frame of previous cycles)

-Polk County (Des Moines) Democrats were worried that inviting only a handful of candidates to upcoming events would look like favoritism, and so decided not

Woodbury County (Sioux City) has embraced it.  Chairman Jeremy Dumkrieger said it was "more fun... than it is a burden", saying they might get 10 calls from candidates in a day, and threw together an event for Bill DeBlasio on 48 hour notice, and handling two events in one day (Tim Ryan and Amy Klobuchar)

The Register also caught a story I had seen a few weeks ago (which is another reason I need to post more timely)- the story of Eric Giddens in Senate District 30.

While it is a long tradition that national politicians might get involved in local elections, this being an odd numbered year, there is only one election going on.  Democrat Giddens, in a weekend, got campaign rallies or canvassing from Klobuchar, Beto O'Rourke, John Delaney and Cory Booker.  Elizabeth Warren, Andrew Yang, and Steve Bullock also helped out in this unusual situation for a Cedar Rapids school board member being in demand which went headline on Politico.

I end this week's roundup with coverage on the Heartland Forum, which ran this weekend in Storm Lake (a northwestern Iowa town of 10,000 that voted 64% for Trump).  The focus was on rural America, and was moderated by someone who has become important in his own right,Storm Lake Times editor and Pulitzer Prize winner Art Cullen.

Cullen put feet to fire on mental health care issues, population decline, immigration, foreign ownership of farmland and Big Agriculture to Warren, Delaney, Klobuchar, Tim Ryan and Julian Castro.

The Register reported that Castro spoke about suicide prevention (which is higher among agricultural workers than any other occupation). Ryan spoke about logical gun control "saying that as someone who hunts".  Klobuchar spoke of strengthening rural America through the Farm Bill, including bringing broadband to every home in America.  Warren spoke of reducing student loan debt so young adults could stay and live in their small towns.  Delaney spoke on pushing immigration reform to create a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants.

It was Cullen's witty ire (as captured by the Register and NPR) for those not attending, that is the real story.

-Bernie Sanders wants to break up big farm conglomerates, but "Why isn't he here?  I'm dead serious about that.  If he cares about Rural issues, then why isn't he here?'

-Beto O'Rourke sent a recorded video and had just toured 13 Iowa counties but "He has time to dance with Oprah, but he doesn't have time for the Iowa Farmers Union.  That pisses me off... excuse me, it disappoints me".

-As far as Joe Biden- "He's trying to make up his mind.  Well, why doesn't he come and make up his mind with a bunch of Farmers Union members in Storm Lake.  They'' help him make his mind real good."

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See the rest of my 2020 coverage at iowaguy2020.blogspot.com

Too much going in my life and too much going on in the race to be of much value, but still I try.  So here's a few takes.

 

Pete Buttigieg-  See that's why I want to blog, because I saw Pete's star was about to rise and I would love to have documented that.  Three weeks ago,  he visited Eastern Iowa, and it was clear from papers like the Iowa City Press-Citizen and the Cedar Rapids Gazette that he was connecting.  His strength being as a mayor, he actually had been an administrator. It's a strength that may be an unexpected advantage.  It is also clear that as a millennial, he is connecting across all sort of demographics.  Also, he is a Midwesterner.

 

Since, I didn't get it down in print, let me just add, an Emerson College poll made worldwide news as Buttigieg finished in 3rd place in Iowa polling, behing stalwarts Biden and Sanders, inching out Kamala Harris.  Buttgieg is the new Beto and I wish I had it on record that I was one of the first to see that coming.

 

Jay Inslee- I am not sure how much momentum the Washington Governor has, but I will give him credit for two things.  1) He has started to run TV ads, something I have only seen John Delaney do this cycle. Inslee needs name recognition in a crowded race.  2)  He is running as a "climate" candidate.  Again, crowded field.  You have to give an angle for Iowans to remember you by.  I can't jump to conclusions yet, but it's a good plan.

 

Cory Booker- Cory has hit local TV and quite simply, he is a rock star.  I don't think any serious discussion should count him out.  Of note, he was the first candidate to get an endorsement.  In this case, Iowa City-area state legislator Amy Nielsen.  Two friends of mine have seen him and the charisma is real.  Cory made reference to his great great grandmother who moved from Alabama to Buxton, Iowa.  Buxton was a coal mining town known for the way it treated black miners and thrived from 1900-1925.  Buxton is an interesting lost history which Booker referenced- a variety of Eastern European, Western European and African heritages, community quilting bees, and when miners died, instead of attending the funerals, all would donate their wages to the mourning family.  (Worth  look at LostBuxton.com and Rachelle Case's Creating the Black Utopia book)

 

Julian Castro- Castro is touring the state and I have seen some buzz.  His poll numbers have been minimal, but I could see him surge.  He is one of five Dems headed to Northwest Iowa for an Ag Forum along with John Delaney, Amy Klobuchar, Elizabeth Warren and Tim Ryan.  I like that Castro is going to small town Iowa, and the press seems to show people are receptive. He seems to be well received by Latino democrats, as well as resonating with Medicare for All and Gun Control.  Castro is a blip, but like Buttigieg, I look for him to explode.

 

Kamala Harris - Harris is still on my short list of candidates who matter.  She gets the nod for the first candidate to have to cancel an event due to weather.  This is no slight to Harris, as we had one of the worst winters in terms of both snow and wind chill than we have had in ages.  Harris has been able to pick up an experienced staff and as setting up meetings to explain the complicated caucus process to young and new voters.  I like that she is organized, and think she is essential in any conversation for the 2020.

 

 

Elizabeth Warren - Warren was put feet to fire to make an oath not to attack another Dem in this process.  I am a big fan of Reagan's 11th commandment and glad to see that.  Counterpoint: The 2008 Dem and 2016 GOP primaries were bloodbaths verbally, and they hardened their candidates to perfect oral competitors.  The headlines of her trip this week were to abolish the Electoral College and that Joe Biden needs to address the allegations about inappropriate campaign behavior.  Lost in that message was tough words for the corporate community including local stalwarts Wells Fargo who surely everyone in Iowa has an opinion about, though that opinion might be colored by their recent "Too Big to Fail" attitude and bumbling behaviors.

 

Bernie Sanders-  Bernie made it to Iowa and his four appearances all led up with opening musical acts.  Sanders famously appeared with Vampire Weekend last cycle and hit an attendance of near 5000.  The Sanders platform of 2016 (decried as it was) will undoubtedly be the platform of whoever the Dems run in 2020.  Bernie's most recent swing took stabs at Big Agri-Business.  It's an interesting play in Iowa where Ag is King.  Specifically, he took aim at Smithfield as an example of CEOs making money off of someone else's hard work.  He criticized the Monsanto-Bayer merger which takes over the seed corn market.  I like Bernie's populist approach, though I don't know if farmers will embrace it en masse.  Still, arguing that family farms are hurt by large factory farming and that 10% of farms get 77% of all subsidies is a good drum to beat,

 

Tulsi Gabbard-  Ok, Tulsi isn't going to win, because Dems I know don't particularly like here, and her seemingly pro-Trump, anti-Mueller tweets this week won't move that needle.  Still, she has made headlines and stayed in the press.  The path I see to her based on her most famous stances (anti-war, anti-intervention, legalizing sex work, and decriminalizing marijuana) might be as a Libertarian.   I am not the first to make the notion that she probably has more in common with Ron Paul than her potential nominee pals.

 

Seth Moulton- The campaign does not need another candidate, but he headed to Iowa this week.  I heard him on Conservative local radio this week, and he more than held his own against a hostile audience.  Moulton, a US Representative from Massachusetts served in the Marines, so he can poke against MAGA barbs.  He was one of the Congressmen who opposed Nancy Pelosi being Speaker again and has made previous Iowa visits.  I think he could be one to watch as Dems turn away from too-familiar faces.

 

Small (and not so Small) town Iowa- My town isn't a small one, but it has had 1 potential candidates visit here, and we are still a year out.  Castro, Warren, Buttgieg, Marianne Williamson, Harris and Delaney visited, sometimes more than once while potential names like Tim Ryan, Tom Steyer, Jeff Merkley and Michael Bloomberg also appeared and Sanders surrogate (Future Star?) Caifornia congressman Ro Khanna.  A Western Iowa town of 10,000 where family comes from has seen 7- Frequent travellers Williamson, Delaney, and Castro, with Eric Swalwell, Andrew Yang, John Hickenlooper and Steve Bullock have made it to the Red side of the state.

 

Spaghetti and Chilli - Iowa Starting Line covered this but while Republicans hit Pizza Ranch and motorcycle rides, Dems have their own fundraiser ideas.  In this case, there were three big Dinner events in February which allowed some of the lesser known candidates to connect with Iowans, and help them against the big name appeal of Biden and Bernie.  Amy Klobuchar and John Delaney were at two of these events, and though long shots, both will be rewarded by their Iowa work.  Swalwell, Hickenlooper, Castro and Harris all made one of these events, which shows some recognition of the importance of the process.  The rewards will remain to be seen.

 

Still, a lot of info to take in and each day is a new headline.  I probably won't be able to be as timely as I like, and my insight may turn out to end up being more about gut and buzz.  Still ,expect me to weigh in from time to time.

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Our Revolution: A Future to Believe InOur Revolution: A Future to Believe In by Bernie Sanders

My rating: 3 of 5 stars


The flaw of "campaign" books is that they are generally preaching to the converted, and just as likely,despite how bright the star (Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Ralph Nader), they aren't worth anything four years later since the environs are so different.

I don't really have a problem with that. I suspect every politician, from the ones that I mentioned to the blander pols like Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty probably have put together books that make the reader feel good.

So Sanders book follows, though one suspects he figured that Hillary would be in the White House at this point. In a weird way, the ideas in his book will likely set the stage for whoever takes the Democratic nomination in 2020. Sanders did indeed move his party in unexpected ways.

Sanders book serves as two halves- one is a memoir of the campaign, the second a manifesto.

Both serve their topics well, though if you are not a Sanders fan, the returns may be limited.

Hearing the Sanders platform, it seems like it would be one that would capture the nation. Removed from the real world, it seems a logical path for which to campaign to the White House. That Bernie is a 70+ year old Jew from Vermont who has spent decades proudly proclaiming himself a ‘socialist’ may have been more than he could make up for.

True enough though, whoever picks up the torch (if not him), whether Biden, Booker or Warren or someone else, will probably be even further to the left than the views in this book.

Sanders covers a lot of issues, and even for the issues where I hear him hardest criticized, he has provided good answers. That said, a book does not really allow for a debate.

This will likely be a good enough book for supporters. If you fall short of diehard status, it is s pretty dense 400+ page book which betrays the notion that these books should be short and breezy.

Reading the book renewed the things I liked about Bernie, but the ideas never are able to remove themselves from the man. It is the rare book that will last past his sell by date, and will likely be the New Democratic playbook.

Politics aside, it is a bit dense for the reader. Sanders gets a bit too much in the weeds at times. In the days where everyone communicates in messages of 140 characters, it’s good that he does explain his views and plans, but for a casual reader, the book is a slog at times.



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The Presidential campaign of 2020 is still a year too early to be taken in earnest, but there are touchpoints along the way, and a major one is the Iowa State Fair.  In the run-up during the caucus, it can be a scene of major moments, not just Rick Perry eating corn dogs (although there is that, but Mitt saying corporations are people, Barack playing bumper cars with his daughters and the Donald telling kids he's Batman and taking them on helicopter rides.

The soapbox is an exciting spot which puts candidates to the people, and gives you things like Romney's gaffe, and occasional a longshot speaking to a crowd of two dozen indifferent spectators.

This year actually had a crowd of presidential contenders (or hopefuls) along with those in the State Races.

John Delaney - John is the only major announced candidate and probably one of the highlights so far was him giving his soapbox speech and seeing John Boehner in his audience.  "I appreciate you coming out and supporting me.  I really do", Delaney called out to Boehner who was in Iowa and Nebraska that week.  The Cedar Rapids Gazette caught his ride on the great State Fair slide. They said he had admirers - one woman interviewed said his campaign ads were 'a breath of fresh air' and they also reported his trip to see the butter cow was uninterrupted.



Eric Swalwell - Eric is a Democratic congressman from California.  He is of note, for being besides Delaney, the politician to make the most appearances in state (at least 10 in a year and a half), so there are obviously some aspirations there.  He beat a long tenured Dem Pete Stark for his seat.  A quick glance of Swalwell leaves a bunch of mixed messages.  He's a Democrat but he's been accused of being a member of the Tea party (though this accusation was born from the Stark camp).  That said, his stances do seem to be liberal norms.  An original idea he has is a "mobile Congress" which would have members cast votes remotely and spend more time in their district.  He is also mentioned as a "moneyball" candidate taking on and defeating Stark.  Stark wouldn't debate Swallell, so he used YouTube to host a fake debate and had a campaign ran by political unknowns and high school volunteers, being outspent by hundreds of thousands, and waiting for his opponent to make mistakes.  It seems like he is certainly a long shot for the White House, but comes with some qualities the party certainly needs.  Swalwell has Iowa ties too.  His dad was police chief in Algona, Iowa- a southwest county seat.  He has a baby due in November and then he will make his decision.

Andrew Yang- I have mentioned Yang before.  He has announced his run, and although he has not held public office, who knows.  Yang's campaign is driven by the freedom dividend- a $1000 monthly stipend to every American adult.  He had about 50 audience members according to the Register.  To show he's serious about Universal Basic Income, he is supposed to give that much of his money to one resident of New Hampshire.

Eric Steyer - Tom's another rich guy- a billionaire hedge fund manager.  Like Michael Avenatti, he's been taking Donald Trump to task.  Steyer has been spending money on "Impeach Trump" ads.  While Tom Delaney has been the only one to run "Presidential ads", it's obvious that by Steyer putting his name on Iowa ads, he's trying to get some name recognition out of the deal.  Steyer's soapbox speech led with his Trump impeachment speaking points, calling it a 'patriotic act'.  Steyer spoke about healthcare for all and other Democrat issues, and is trying to turn out the youth vote; saying he will make a decision to run next year.  Steyer has enough clout that Conservatives are already taking shots at him.

Julian Castro -  Castro, former mayor of San Antonio and Secretary of HUD has a better name recognition than most on this list.  One of Castro's unique ideas is to to have college graduates roll their student debt into their mortgage payments, so they can pay both down over time.  He says he will make a decision about a Presidential run by the end of the year.  He feels it is a wide open race, and the national pundits are getting their lists wrong.

Steve Bullock- The Montana governor has spent quite a bit of time in Iowa.  His claim to fame is being a blue politician winning a red state (though it's not that big of a state).  The Register says two in attendance asked about his Presidential ambitions which he dodged.  He says he's "listening", but he certainly must be thinking about it.  Bullock took jabs at Citizens United and the effect of money in politics.  Bullock got a tour of the State Fair from Iowa's Attorney General Tom Miller, who undoubtedly would be an ally if he does run.

Evan McMullin- There was one non-Democrat at the soapbox who might have Presidential aspirations.  You might remember, McMullin coming out of seemingly nowhere to be a serious candidate in 2016.  Running as an independent with libertarian leanings, he finished with 21% of Utah's votes, but at one time, looked poised to maybe win that state and throw the election to Congress.  McMullin who was a hero to the NeverTrumpers says he's not running, but not ruling it out either.  McMullin says he's going to campaign for moderate Democrats and Republicans, and imagines someone will run in the primary against Trump, even if it might not be him.  He does say he will run for something again in the future somewhere.

Michael Avenatti did not appear on the soapbox, as far as I know, but went to the Fair (as did Boston Mayor Marty Walsh who says he was only here to campaign for Democrats, not to run for President).  It is to Avenatti's credit, that every article about 2020 seems to lead back to him.  The Kavanaugh confirmation hearings have only kept his name in the headlines.  Avenatti is charismatic (Everytime he speaks, he seemingly gains support).  He's serious (He said he wouldn't be here if he wasn't serious).  He has been making the rounds and taking it to 45 (a 'snake oil' salesman).  He was shaking hands with everyone and one woman admits she had no idea who he was, and assumed he was a local TV personality.

Certainly, he won't be boring.  His idea to take the fight to Trump is one that seems like fresh air to a party that generally remains passive.  Indeed, Avenatti's trip to Iowa even got support from right wing NeverTrumpers.

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A new candidate has emerged.

It was a fairly quiet summer. Although Trump's numbers are low, no significant Democrat has shown up. Indeed, I saw an idea floating around that suggested the Dems should run no candidate and support John Kasich (This didn't work in 1872 and seems like a worse idea now).

In the meantime, there are the annual party fundraisers and this is where those who want to run for President seem to gravitate to.

One of those was August 10 in the rural Northern Iowa town of Clear Lake, and it's called the Wing Ding.

Michael Avenatti, who is a prominent attorney and media presence, and at this point, is best known for being Stormy Daniels's attorney- stole the headlines.

"When Trump hits low, we punch harder" was Avenatti's message. Popularly received despite two years of Democrats calling for civility.

Avenatti likely is leaning toward a Presidential run. He's loud, polarizing, camera-seeking and is not a Politician. I mean, there's no way he would be a viable Presidential candidate. Oh wait.....

Ostensibly, Ohio congressman Tim Ryan was the headliner. Ryan seems to be working towards a Presidential run, taking Nancy Pelosi to task for not being the leadership the Party needs. He has hired Bernie Sanders advisor Pete D'Allesandro to get a feel for Iowa. His politics likely would follow within Sanders's footsteps. He has also made legal marijuana part of his campaign. He was one of the Democrats who headlined the Polk County Dinner fundraiser last year, which I covered at the time.

John Delaney is considered the one prominent Democrat to be officially in the race. Because of that fact, I mention Delaney a lot. I odn't have much to add, but I will say I see him popping up occasionally in conversation and social media. It's a bit Quixotic, but to his credit, he seems to be marching towards his goal.

Andrew Yang is the fourth speaker and is an interesting addition. Yang is most well known as an investor in company startups. He is also officially in the race, though as a non-politician usually doesn't get the media's respect as such. Yang's big issue is an interesting one- Universal Basic Income. In a Yang administration, everyone gets $1000 from the Government every month. This would relieve fears of job loss or remove disincentives to get more education. It's an interesting idea.

So while we are on the topic of Avenatti- it also is worth it (for the clicks!) to share the very politically relevant news that the Stormy Daniels visited Des Moines on her recent tour.

This particular tour did get some big headlines in some of the towns she visited as she took The Donald to task. Also, to clarify, the tour wasn't the local Barnes and Noble, it was at a place just down the street called Big Earl's Gold Mine, and the tour is called "Making America Horny Again".

The Des Moines Register reports:

Elizabeth Leonard drove nine hours to see porn star Stormy Daniels in the flesh.

Leonard arrived at Big Earl’s Goldmine just after Daniels wrapped up the first of two Friday night performances at the all-nude strip club just north of the Des Moines city limits. She is fascinated by Daniels public feud with the White House and her surprising emergence as a champion of women among many supporters.

"I just want to see what happens," said the 37-year-old from Detroit. "And I want to see where she goes with her activism

The Register recalled how her tour brought out MAGA fans in Florida and Trump protestors in Madison, Wisconsin, before getting into that Pulitzer-winning journalism.

After her Friday performances, Daniels is scheduled to take the stage again Saturday at 8:30 and 11:30 p.m. at Big Earl's. Tickets cost $50 at the door with an extra charge for autographs and photos.

Big Earl’s owner Melvin Bryson said Daniels is the most famous person to ever perform at the club. Few regulars filled the red velvet chairs inside the venue. But people were there to watch a strip show, not attend some political lecture, he said.

The loudspeakers played a pre-recorded introduction that went over Daniels’ resume: She has appeared in more than 150 adult films. She’s the top-rated performer on pornography site Pornhub. And hers was the most-watched "60 Minutes" interview in the last decade.

A crush of security guards and handlers rushed the star to the stage while “American Woman" played in the background. She smiled broadly as she comfortably marched around the stage in sparkling high heels.

She wore a red, white and blue cape over lingerie of the same colors. Long, blue sequined gloves covered her forearms.

The DJ urged those in the crowd to open their wallets: “If you want her attention, hold up some money,” he said.

She lost the cape and gloves and swung around the center brass pole. With encouragement from the announcer and the crowd, she tore off a bustier emblazoned with two stars. And soon, she wore only heels and a thin, blue garter.

She pressed her chest into men and women in the front row and knelt on her knees leaning out across the crowd as her entourage swept up the ones, fives and 10s that flew across the stage.

"Remember, the bigger the bill, the bigger the thrill," the deejay instructed.

A handler passed her a blue fleece blanket, which she spread out on the dance floor. Daniels sprawled out, posing on her stomach and back. She squirted a water bottle out into the crowd, then turned the nozzle to herself, spraying her chest and backside.

The DJ encouraged fans to come up and stick a bill on her wet body.

As a political reporter, that beats spending your afternoon driving from one Pizza Ranch to another, amirite?

The 50 or so people who filled the first show Friday night hooted and hollered during Daniels' short appearance. Many stood up during the performance to get a better look.

One of the club’s regular dancers grumbled that the show was only “decent.” Her poses were tantalizing, she acknowledged, but she hardly worked the pole.

A husband and wife in the front row enthusiastically handed over singles during Daniels’ performance. The woman, who declined to give her name, said she didn’t care much about the star’s conflict with the president. She was just there for the show.

"I don’t know if I have an opinion either way," she said. "It’s Des Moines. We have no entertainment here."

Counterpoint: Des Moines has other entertainment options to offer.

Cases of Busch Light and Bud Light covered the tables at Big Earl's, a bring-your-own-beverage establishment. The local dancers sipped boxed white wine out of QuickTrip cups as they waited to get back on stage.

"I thought it was a great show," said Brent Bialas, a Windsor Heights resident who mows lawns for a living.

The 42-year-old hadn't heard much about Daniels' feud with the president before Friday. He only came after winning a raffle for a free ticket to the show. She was a natural on stage, he said, and he planned to get an autograph afterward.

"If it doesn't cost too much," he said.

Daniels charged $20 for photos and autographs before taking a break in her giant black tour bus out front.

She later returned for a second strip show, this time wearing a spandex leopard print suit, complete with a black tail and ears. "Cat Scratch Fever" played over the P.A. as she peeled off her outfit.

"How'd you like to wake up Christmas morning with that under your tree?" the DJ said.

We see how economic policy comes into the discussion, though their is some irony surely in using future cabinet member Ted Nugent's most famous song.

While I did not attend, others had no qualms. You see this is all about the politics.

Jaime Bernal sat at a small table near the front row. He wore a sky blue Raygun shirt that read: "America Needs Nasty Women," a reference to a Trump insult about Hillary during a 2016 debate.

Bernal, a 38-year-old who works in sales in Des Moines, described himself as a "lifelong Chicago Democrat." He's no fan of the current president and admires Daniels.

"At least she’s got the courage to stand up," he said.

While there, he paid up for a photo with the star. He had posted it on Facebook before he even left the building. And the show wasn't bad either, he said.

"I figured, why not?" he said. "Might as well come out on a Friday night and have a good time."


Besides, if I did go, I could always play "I just wanted to see an important person in American history" card.

Lobbyist Nate Gavronsky folded wings into single dollar bills and wrote "Air Force One" on them.

Gavronsky, dressed in a black suit, wore a checkered pink tie, which he flipped around to reveal a Trump label.

"She caught the tie," he said. "She thought that was kind of funny."

Gavronsky was impressed with the performance. He said she should write a book — not about her escapades with Trump, but about making it big in the adult entertainment industry.

"She's actually been successful in this industry," he said. "There are a lot of women who go into it... Write a book about how to do it right."

A registered Republican, he said he didn't have any strong feelings on the porn star. He just likes to meet famous politicians and celebrities. He said he's met every American president since Richard Nixon.

"People don't believe you can just go do that. But you can," he said. "Forty years from now people will be like 'That was crazy.' And I'll be like, 'Yeah, I was there.'"

You know I have shaken hands with two Presidents, the Speaker of the House, and other prominent American politicians, but he's got me at Stormy Daniels.

In any case, while I am not saying I can come out to support the MAHA tour, it's at least nice to see both sides agree on something.



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Last week, George RR Martin announced he was leaving LiveJournal which effectively turned the lights out. 

In the old days, i would post odd stories that i liked and people would read and comment on them.  Now, I still use LJ, but it is now ironically, exactly what it is called, a journal, for me by me but only read by me.

In any case, Glenn Jacobs is probably going to be a Mayor.  Jacobs won the Mayor of Knox County Republican primary.  Despite the presence of Knoxville College, it is not expected that the Democrat candidate to win in this district.

Not surprisingly, Jacobs is a very active local politician who campaigned prominently for Ron Paul.  Surprisingly, Jacobs day job is Kane from the WWE (and previously Issac Yankem DDS aka a Dentist named I Yankem Ho ho ho).



This guy

Also this guy



Which of course, blows my mind.  We have been told for two decades that his family is his brother The Undertaker.  Who the hell are these people?

Wrestling changed in the 80s as you might know, and Kane (and Taker) are the last of the Cartoon characters of the 80ss (like Hillbilly Jim, Brutus the Barber and JunkYard Dog) as wrestling transitioned to "real" people like Steve Austin and Bill Goldberg.

I suppose in the world of Donald Trump, nothing disqualifies you from being a politician, but Kane as a character from the notorious WWE attitude era has a resume that might make Stormy Daniels blush:

-Attempted to electrocute Shane McMahon
-Tried to set Jim Ross on fire
-Kidnapped Lita, impregnated her and then forcibly married her
-Assaulted Pete Rose three times
-Buried his brother alive
-Possibly burned his childhood home down with his family in it

I am undoubtedly leaving out plenty of attacks that were unprovoked, but I just want to get to the Katie Vick thing.  Katie Vick is always on the short list of the worst wrestling angles ever.  It was the nadir of WWE Attitude, prior to Linda McMahon's political career, and Vince was trying to get away with as much Howard Stern-style shock that he could get passed the Network.

You can obviously google it, but the punchline is necrophilia. 

So, that Russian election meddling doesn't seem like a big deal now, does it?

Jacobs won by 23 votes (17 before a recount).

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Although we did not cross the border, we did get close to it. There is a community college with the most descriptive name of Texas Southmost. It also is on the grounds of what used to be Fort Brown.

Many of the buildings like the barracks are still standing and are there as historical locations.

I knew the Civil War had made its way to Texas, and that the Western part of the war (Missouri and Arkansas as well) hardly gets any mention.  Per wiki, Rip Ford occupied the fort in 1861 and was run out by Nathaniel Banks in 1863, until Ford and James Slaughter took it back in 1864, and by the end of the war, it was a location that was becoming irrelevant.  Ford won a post-Appomattox battle at Palmito Ranch, considered the last battle of the war.

Brownsville stuck out in my mind, though and I couldn't place it, though obviously the Cub Koda band stuck out.  Then I looked and remembered, one of the truly sad moments of American History, the Brownsville raid.  You can read about it, but the short version is that in 1906, a regiment of Buffalo Soldiers were garrisoned there.  A white bartender in the town was killed and the soldiers blamed.  The soldiers were in the fort all night, but evidence was planted.  A hearing was held, and the testimony of the townspeople was taken.  President Theodore Roosevelt dishonorably discharged 167of the soldiers.  It was only until the 1970s where their good names have been restored and the truth finally won out.

This was also where the first airplane was used in combat to fight Pancho Villa

It is also where the Border Wall is. Despite Trump's insistence that he is building it (and Mexico is paying for it).  There already is a wall in this area and we were able to see it.


MSNBC's picture, not mine.  But it looks a bit like this and it isn't terribly exciting. 
The 18-foot fence was built in 2009 (So under Obama) and is unforgiving in its mission.  Which means that it cuts through a family farm.

Most bizarrely, though (and it's clear from the signs still standing) it goes right through a golf course.

To steal the USA Today headline from last year, the golf course stood no course.  Indeed, the low-cost option golf course which had been owned by a small businessman for 30 years, saw his profits drop wildly when it was voted for in 2006, and put out of business altogether soon after 2011 when it became part of a turf war- his turf being one the US wanted to defend but not protect.

Much of the golf business in this area has always come from “Winter Texans,” visitors from chillier climes who would come chasing reasonably priced rounds and warmer weather. For the most part, they wanted no part of Fort Brown once the difficulties kicked in.

“It is pretty sad,” said Celso Medina, who runs Golf Headquarters, an impressive golf store in Brownsville. “It's a personal thing, (it was) one of my favorite golf courses. That's where I really learned to play the game actually.

“(It was) very affordable mostly for the average person that couldn't afford to play at a country club. It really hurt.”

Lucio gets emotional when he sees the site now. Like Medina and Prepejchal, he remembers fun nights with the guys, when dozens of players would sit and barbecue and knock back beers hours after darkness called a halt to play.

No longer. It has taken just a few years for derelict course equipment to get swallowed by nature. A large pond that once needed to be avoided by players is now dry, with the balls of so many errant shots wedged in the dried mud.

Lucio tried to disguise the fence by putting up a course sign on it, tried to make it look like an entrance and not a stark reminder of political divisions. Perception is king, though, and it didn’t have much impact.

Yet here is the puzzling thing about the course and the border and just the odd nature of the U.S. and its interactions with Mexico. You can easily get onto the course from Mexico by crossing the river. The river is less than 50 feet across in some spots, and the water is usually slow moving.

The fence is there, but there is a gap in it you can drive through. At times the border agents are there, at others they are not, either patrolling the scrubland or just off duty. At those unattended moments, anyone can just walk through and be on the streets of Brownsville within a minute or so.

As Bob Lucio moves through it, he first takes a look back, then across to the fence. He gives a deep sigh and a small shake of his head.

“I don’t get it,” he said. “I didn’t get it then, and I still don’t. I have lived here all my life, and we used to celebrate our joint history with Mexico. When I put my time into the course, it was because I thought I’d be here forever.”

 



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Despite the fact that John Delaney is running ads every night, there is not much that there is to blog about for the 2020 Iowa caucuses yet.

However, there are some big changes that were announced in December that will change the Caucuses forever.

This probably did not get a lot of attention, but actually could have big implications.

If you don't understand the Iowa Caucus (particularly the Democrat caucus), you don't understand how weird the process is.  I lived in a state prior that had primaries and those are fairly straight forward.  You go in some time from 7am to 9pm (or whenever) and cast a ballot.

The caucus requires physical presence for the vote.  It takes place on a Tuesday night at 7pm.  The people who show up, vote.  If you have to work, you are out of town, you are sick, the Iowa January weather does what Iowa January weather does, or anything prevents you from attending at your designated location at the specific time, your vote does not count.

That will be forever changed, when the Democrats allow absentee ballots going forward.  Will it change things?  Well, it might.  The people who attend the caucus are generally 9-to-5ers.  Will this open up a younger demographic or a less affluent crowd of second shifters.  Would this have put Bernie Sanders over the top in 2016, stunning the world (instead, Sanders stopped just short of the stun, with a great showing but on the wrong side of 49.8 to 49.3. 

Would Howard Dean have fared better than a disastrous 18% Third Place finish if his supporters could have been organized to get ballots in leading up to Caucus Day?  Would he have at least survived to make it as the primary competition to John Kerry and went into Super Tuesday in that role instead of John Edwards?


The other change seems insignificant but may be more important than you think.  The Democrat Party plans on publishing the vote tallies of the caucuses.  This is a big deal, but again, only if you understand the process.

While the Republicans also caucus, their vote is basically a straw poll, and they post the vote totals.  The Democrat process is a bit more complicated.  A vote is taken, but if a candidate does not get 15% of the vote, then they are not considered 'viable', and a revote is taken.  At the end of the process, delegates are assigned on that revote (and sometimes multiple revotes).

What does that mean?  Well, at my caucus in 2016, Martin O'Malley had 12 votes, while clearly not game changing, was just over 6% of the crowd assembled.  Because, he was not at 15%, the results of my caucus was HilRod 4, Bernie 3, Martin 0.  Well, which sounds better 6% or zero.  (Also worth noting, another local caucus, Hillary had 44 votes while Bernie only had 29, but because of the math, what was reported was that this caucus was a 2-2 tie).

Again, I am not sure if this would have changed winners in 2016, but as close as it was, we would have a more accurate picture of where people stood.  If indeed Bernie was more popular, or (don't yell at me) if maybe his numbers were inflated.

In any case, it became a two person race.  O'Malley had half a percentage point in the delegate count. Now, if he had polled more accurately at 5%, it might not have been enough to convince him to stay in the race, but then again, he may have thought it worthwhile to hang around a little longer, and given both candidates' baggage, he may have got some momentum.

You can probably pick any caucus, but I would also point 2008 when Bill Richardson and Joe Biden polled in the 5-10% range.  The eventual headline was that it was now a three person race (Obama, Clinton, Edwards) since Richardson only had 2.1% of the delegate vote and Biden less than one percent.  Still, if a more accurate count was given of actual support, maybe four candidates could have moved forward.

Also of note, it likely was those second-choice Richardson and Biden votes that pushed Obama over Clinton.  Would Obama's victory have been so shocking if it had been printed side-by-side with the fact that Hillary was still the most popular candidate with everyone figured in.

In any case, history can't be changed and we don't know what the future holds, so we just have to wait to see if these changes have massive effects or none at all.



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One thing about living in Iowa is that it is constantly election season; or perhaps it's just that politicians like to visit New Hampshire and Iowa as their pick of many possible winter vacation locations.

The conventional wisdom (as perpetuated by social media) is the Democrats are a party in ruins. This is the same thing I heard in 1984 with the Reagan landslide over Mondale. It's what we heard about the GOP in 1996 and 2012 as a two term President cruised to victory over minimal opposition.

The other talk is of the Bernie and Hillary split. I don't put much credence in this as I don't see either running in 2020 (both will be over 70). There might be hard feelings but I liken Bernie to Ron Paul, and his absence will lighten the memory.  Besides my gut instinct that it's no longer a thing, and your social media feed still reading like Summer 2016, recent polls indicate Dems are more united than Republicans.

In any case, the Dems are generally the party of the Fresh Face. It's the party of Kennedy. It's the party of relative unknowns like Clinton and Obama. It's why Gary Hart, John Edwards and Dick Gephardt were exciting the first go around, but were lagging in the polls on their second efforts.

This of course, doesn't explain HRC (or Gore or Mondale), but then again she didn't win, did she?

The GOP is the Party of Nixon. it is the party of 'doing your work and putting in your time". The Party of Nixon, Reagan, Dole, and most recently Romney and McCain- candidates who fell short in their initial run. Trump doesn't follow the rule of Conventional Wisdom, but when did Trump follow CW.

There are bellwether events on both sides before the election.  A prominent one was the Indianola Steak Fry which was hosted by longtime Senator Tom Harkin.  Harkin has retired but the Democrats still use the fundraiser to bring big names to the Hawkeye State.

This event took place recently and despite it being very early, it is still one of those necessary stops for those who are interested in plotting out a campaign.

This early on, the heavyweights like Kaine, Biden and Booker probably don't need to pound the pavement.  Still, those who are working from further behind are making their moves.  The excellent Des Moines Register correspondent Jason Noble reported on the event which I drew upon here.  Noble suggests some of those who attended are looking more at 2024 than 2020.

In any case, here's six people you have never heard of that could be our next President, and remember I said it first.

Tim Ryan- Everything about Tim screams Presidential candidate.  He is a Representative from Ohio.  He says he is not interested in running for Governor in 2018 (which frees him up for 2020), but he also says he is "probably" not running for President.  In any case, if he is not running, he has been busy making trips to Iowa and South Carolina to stump for local candidates.  Ryan's biggest moment has been after the election, when he ran against Nancy Pelosi for Minority Leader (She promised more opportunities for junior Congressmen and he lost by a ratio of 2-1).  Ryan with his challenge of Pelosi and his trips to Carolina appears to be setting himself up as the kind of Pre-Obama Red State style Democrat that everyone thought was needed to win the White House.  He is in a district that went for Trump, so the GOP will be trying to beat him before he gets the chance to do more,

Seth Moulton- Moulton is a Rep from Massachusetts who fits even more in that Jim Webb Red State mold.  He's the subject of an article that is called Generals Love him, Top Democrats hate him.  He has unlikely friends like David Petreaus, David Gergen and Stanley McCrystal.  He had four tours of duty as a Marine in Iraq so he has been attacking Trump's military record.  He was also one of the most vocal opponents of Nancy Pelosi's re-election as Minority Leader.  He seems to have appeal for those red state Democrats who don't see Pelosi as a 'good kind of liberal'.  Although he is from a Liberal State, he is from the most Conservative of districts there.

Jeff Merkley- There will surely be a rush to grab Bernie supporters, and this Oregon Senator will likely be one beneficiary.  Merkley was the only US Senator to support Bernie Sanders.  Merkley, in those "gradecard" scores of Liberalism consistently ranks with Sanders and Warren as the Bluest of the Blue.  he has a Universal Health care system he calls "Medicare for All" and  is a strong voice for education spending and infrastructure.  Merkley has been quietly active in Iowa, so expect to hear more out of him.

Cheri Bustos - Illinois congressman Bustos based out of Peoria is probably not looking at 2020, but is a rising star in the Democrat Party.  She was touted as a possible candidate for the vulnerable state house job held by Republican Bruce Rauner.  She isn't running, which probably makes sense since it is an already a crowded field, one with a Kennedy, and he's not even the favorite.  She was one of only eleven Representatives to win in a Trump-won district, and she won it in a landslide.  She is a Pro-Choice Catholic, limited on gun control, pro-pipeline, and called the ACA "imperfect"- a center-left politician that can fight off the "out of touch Coast Liberals" .  She is the only Midwesterner in the Democrat House Leadership and may have some Red State appeal that others don't.
perception.

Pete Buttigieg - Although only 35 and his highest held position is Governor of South Bend, Indiana, Buttigieg deserves some notice.  He sounds like something off a check list- a gay ex-Navy Harvard graduate who has won big in a Red State.  Buttigieg impresses wherever he goes and has favorable quotes from the likes of David Axelrod and Jeff Weaver, the chairman of Sanders 2016 campaign.  He ran for DNC chair which put him on the radar, and is a voice for the millennials.  It seems unlikely a mayor of such a relatively small town would make the Big Run, but he has been in Iowa enough that he is definitely up to something.

Grace Meng- Unlike the other six, Meng did not attend the Steak Fry, but deserves mention as she was in the State during the same time, hosting a Women's Event as DNC Vice Chair.  Like Bustos, the article thinks Meng is likely looking further down the calendar than 2020.  As a congresswoman representing Queens, she is the highest ranking Asian American in New York City.  Her talking points have been building up a new coalition, criticizing Debra Wasserman Schultz' s tenure and saying the only way the Democrats can get back to winning is to bring in minority groups like Asians, Latinos, and African Americans.
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So for awhile, I have said that I don't have much time for tv, so I don't blog often about it.  I usually feel like I am a bit out of touch.  But it isn't like I don't watch tv at all.  Anyway, these are odds and ends, but things I thought worthwhile.

Ernie Ball: The Pursuit of Tone - (Audience Channel)-  This is ostensibly a series of musician interviews on one of those more obscure (but often worthwhile) satellite channels.  Episode one was Mike Ness of Social Distortion.  I do not know who else will be interviewed, and the Ernie Ball website only mentions Ness.  It is clearly not a weekly series, but my understanding is that it will be a series.  Ernie Ball, of course, being the well-known maker of guitar strings.

It was good to see Ness given the legend treatment.  I feel like he is an underrated modern musician.  He chronicled his life from childhood up to what may be his next album, with plenty of appropriate video footage and songs insomuch it feels like a totally authorized documentary.

Ness talked about his influences- Sex Pistols, T Rex, Stones, CCR, Lucinda Williams all get mentions, while he says he currently digs the Rhianna (!) record "Anti" and the Rick Rubin produced Tom Petty album "Wildflowers".

I often think Ness doesn't get the credit he deserves because he's not particularly prolific, and it is apparent from the interview, he is careful to protect the Social Distortion brand.  Even releasing the solo albums was a clear distinction in that it wasn't SD music.  He seems very particular to what is recorded and released, and I think that is apparent.  He also doesn't want to try and ape being a 20-year old forever.

It was very professionally done in comparison to similar shows.  I thought it was interesting for Ness fans and well worth it for them.  I suspect it is on demand and possibly on social media video share sites, as well as being re-ran.  (I have since seen where they have done one on Buddy Guy, and Billy Duffy of the Cult will be next.

Jackie Robinson (PBS)-  I probably don't need to recommend a Ken Burns film, but it is four hours, so figure I would give you a nudge.  I knew I would probably like it, and I did.  What I liked most about it was that it really develops the Robinson story.

Jackie had a Hollywood biopic and everyone generally knows the story (which is fascinating), but I think most people get to "Jackie made it to the Dodgers.  There was some bigotry and racism, but they got over it, because he was such a good player and made the team."

It wasn't so easy.  There were all the problems we have heard about, but they continued.  People might tolerate one black ballplayer, but what happens when a team has more blacks than whites.  What happens when there are no black coaches and some teams don't have any African American players, and Jackie is vocal about it?

Jackie becomes an activist, but he is always pushing for more, less willing to keep his mouth shut than say the loved Roy Campanella.  Jackie supports Nixon in 1960 as he feels JFK will only keep the party line in the South.  Jackie has his heart broken when Nixon refuses to do anything about the arrested Martin Luther King.  In '64, he again supports the Republicans- this time Nelson Rockefeller, and again is heartbroken when the GOP nominates Barry Goldwater, someone he cannot support.

There are a lot of uneasy questions.  The Pee Wee Reece moment comes up.  Burns says it probably never happened.  Slate says it probably did.  In any case, white America makes Pee Wee as big of a hero as Jackie.  Burns also suggests that Branch Rickey didn't sign Jackie for altruism so much as Fiorello LaGuardia was pressuring the owners.

It is, as you can guess, well done, and a fascinating fuller picture than what we usually get.  Well worth the time, and currently available on the PBS website, and surely to be shown in perpetuity

Race for the White House (CNN)  Clearly this is a ratings grab- it's an election year, and so we have President Frank Underwood narrating (from the popular House of Cards).  In any case, as a political junkie, I am in.

Kevin Spacey narrates and helped co-produce.  It is a six part series which picks six elections from the past and highlights.  There's some obvious Truman-Dewey, JFK-Nixon, Lincoln-Douglas, the contentious Andrew Jackson- JQ Adams (II) and the modern- Bush-Dukakis and Bush-Clinton.

Each episode is an hour, which for me wasn't enough.  In the hour, they cover the cycle from primary to general election, and with such a small amount of time (minus commercials) only really have time to focus on 2 or 3 main points.  I get more than an hour may be tedious for others, but that's me.

It is fascinating, and I felt I learned from each episode, despite knowing the subjects very well.  Because, it's CNN- the people they got to appear and give insight are the biggest political movers and shakers of our day- Begala, Carville, Matalin, Sununu, Buchanan, Gingrich, Estrich, Howard Dean, Wesley Clark  and David Plouffe.

I also thought the re-enactments were well done.  Some times on the History Channel or other similar stations, I feel like wrong casting or lack of budget take away from the show.  Here, everything was top notch.

Bush-Dukakis seems an odd choice (Bush-Clinton at least has Perot), but I think it was selected (and works well) because it is modern but enough time has also passed to talk about it.  Dukakis himself contributes.  Dukakis might have been better served by a little bit of Attwater-style attack ads, and his son says he knew the "tank" was a bad idea.

These will likely be re-run and seem to be available.  I would certainly recommend for political junkies.

(Note: While my intention here was to focus on recent documentaries I watched, I did catch a BBC film Nazi Titanic which was something I did not know about.  It is about the 1943 German film Titanic, which in typical Nazi propaganda style, wanted to challenge Hollywood's dominance by telling the story of how a ship is sunk because of short-sighted British and Jewish bankers, while a heroic German (!) captain warns of an impending iceberg.    It amuses to a great degree that during World War 2, the Germans wanted to win the propaganda war that they went so far as to send entire naval divisions to the filming, instead of you know, the Front, which is where they were likely better served.  The Germans spent ridiculous amounts of money on the film, and that is literally only the start of what a disaster it was.  Even more ironic is after such an over the top backstory, the film eventually gets banned by Goebells as he thinks it will hurt morale instead of improving it.   You can read more here and I suspect this film is online if you search, or certainly will be shown again on the History Channel)





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I don't find myself apologizing for my adopted state of Iowa, of which I have now spent a third of my life. Iowa has a progressive history.  You can go back to Iowa's history with the Underground railroad.  Iowa was where the first university admitted women, the second state to legalize interracial marriage (1851) and the second state to legalize gay marriage (2007).  Iowa even this month saw one of the biggest schools in Des Moines introduce gender safe bathrooms while the rest of the nation is trying to pass laws to ban such things, or telling Caitlyn Jenner jokes and "I wish I was transgender, so i could go in the Ladies Rooms jokes" like Mike Huckabee.

Parts of Iowa of course are not so progressive.  Iowa has its share of Sundown Towns and keeps re-electing the guy who said immigrants have calves the size of cantaloupes because they are all drug mules.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump, well, unless you have lived the last year in outer space, well, you know.... But in case you don't.  He is the guy who says Obama isn't a real American, Ted Cruz isn't a real American, and with a name like Rubio, he has his doubts about Marco.  (Donald is the son of a Scottish mother who spoke Gaelic in the home)  Trump has also secured the endorsement of David Duke and retweeted an endorsement from a group called White Genocide.

In which case, this story isn't so surprising, but it does prove the fact "Trump" in 2016 is a racial epithet:

High school students in Des Moines, Iowa, this week chanted "Trump! Trump!" after a boys' basketball game. The chanters were from Dallas Center-Grimes High, which has a largely white population. Their school's team had just lost to Perry High School, which has a more diverse student population.
..

Dallas Center-Grimes athletic director Steve Watson said about a dozen students chanted Trump's name three or four times. He said privacy policies don't allow him to disclose whether those students were disciplined.

“One of our administrators knew right away that it would be offensive because Perry has a high minority population,” Watson said.

P
erry Coach Ned Menke said several of his players did take offense to the chant.

“When you find out about it, your initial reaction was kind of disbelief," he said. "Like, 'Really? That just happened?' "






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I did a few posts this year about when candidates attack.  Of course the worst part about a candidate coming to town is a candidate coming to your town.

At least that is my takeaway from a Marshalltown, IA newspaper article that I thought had potential to go viral, and feel is worth sharing.

Marshalltown is a town of 27,000- so it is a decent sized city, helped by the fact that it is midway between Des Moines and Iowa City, and in the framework of Iowa, it is the 16th largest city.  So important.

It is also well known as being home of Billy Sunday- maybe the most famous of the early 20th century evangelical preachers.  Sunday was a baseball player who used the fame to combat the devil alcohol and sexuality.  Another famous person from the city was Cap Anson.  Anson was the first of baseball's greatest players, though his legacy now is more known for being the man who segregated the sport.

Marshalltown also too is the home of Eugene Debs' two-time running mate Ben Hanford, and unexpectedly, home of some of the best local music acts.

In any case, this is worth sharing:

The dust has settled from several high profile candidate appearances in January featuring former President Bill Clinton, Republican presidential candidates Ben Carson and Donald Trump, and former Secreatary of State and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.

All put Marshalltown in the national limelight.

But the exposure cost the city $7,071.

hose were expenses the Marshalltown Police and Fire Departments said they incurred for duties ranging from traffic and crowd control to counting visitors entering public facilities.

The only candidate who paid was Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., seeking the Democrat Party's nomination for president. And he is the only one without a Super Political Action Committee funding his campaign.

Trump and Hillary Clinton appearances

By far the highest expense was Trump's visit to the Marshalltown High School Roundhouse early evening Jan. 26, which cost the MPD $3,596 in police overtime, according to an email sent to the Times-Republican last week by Marshalltown Police Chief Mike Tupper.

Trump, a billionaire real estate mogul, drew 1,486 visitors, according to Marshalltown Fire Chief David Rierson.

To a lesser extent, Hillary Clinton's event at Miller MIddle School later the same evening cost $2,474.

She drew 400, said Rierson.

"These costs do not include the salary expenses for salaried employees who do not receive overtime compensation but still worked the events," said Tupper. "These costs also do not include the expenses (time) that were incurred planning and preparing for these events.

Carson and former President Clinton

"Additionally we incurred $800 in expenses for Carson's event at the Best Western Regency Inn Jan. 24, and $201 in expenses for former President Bill Clinton's event (campaigning for spouse Hillary) at Marshalltown Community College Jan. 15," said Tupper.

Tupper said not all candidates requested services and the MPD generally received requests from those who have secret service protection.

Sen. Sanders

"Occasionally, a candidate without secret service protection makes a request, but these are not common and are generally minimal," he said.

"Sen. Sanders was in Jan. 10," (at the BWRI). Tupper said. "He does not have secret service protection and did request security assistance. The Sanders campaign paid. That is a welcome deviation from the norm."

Marshalltown Fire Department

Fire chief David Rierson told the T-R in an email Jan. 29 it had incurred roughly $675 in expenses.

"Since deputy chief Johnson and I are salaried, no overtime was incurred," he said.

Rierson could be see dutifully counting people as they entered political events as part of fire safety concerns.

Offsetting city expenses

However, money spent at numerous Marshalltown businesses and elsewhere by campaigns was noticed.

"The visits from presidential candidates certainly had an impact on the Marshalltown economy," Lynn Olberding, executive director of the Marshalltown Area Chamber of Commerce told the Times-Republican last month.

"(There were) extra visitors at hotels, facility and room rentals, stops in convenience stores and gas stations, restaurants and entertainment."

Marshalltown's image enhanced

Marshalltown's image gained too, she said.

"Visits from Democratic and Republican candidates has shown the media what a great community Marshalltown is and the important role our diverse community makes in the political arena. Iowa continues to be the first in the nation caucus for a reason and every four years, communities like ours play a part on the national stage as candidates vie for votes," she said.

The TL;DR version is that Bernie Sanders paid his way as he did require security (He did not have Secret Service detail as others did).  Whereas the people who have the most, also cost the most- Trump left a bill for $3600 in police overtime and Hillary for an event of 400 incurred almost $2500.

All told $7000 for visits from The Donald, President and Secretary Clinton separately, and Ben Carson.
All
 



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I think it is safe to say we are in Caucus Season now.

It doesn't feel like it of course.  Perhaps, it's because we have not quite hit the stride of the trail, where TV ads are rampant, and debates are on tv.  Maybe, it's because the GOP field lacks a declared front runner (Scott Walker and Jeb Bush both hint.  Walker likely will run.  Bush we don't know)

Still, it's here, and we know it as this year, pretty much everyone who even is talked about in the smallest of circles is throwing their hat in the ring.  It's a lame duck term, so of course, that makes sense, so we even get Pataki (officially) and Lindsay Graham (highly likely) even if throngs of people weren't waiting for them.

So we are at the beginning, but let's take Thursday, there's three candidates who made three stops each- Rand Paul, Rick Santorum, and Bernie Sanders

In short, we're infested with Presidential candidates, and it's dangerous out there

Which brings me to this story:

Hillary Motorcade Barrels Down Iowa Interstate at 95MPH


This story hit places like Inside Edition, The Daily Mail, NewsMax and other likely places.

The story goes something like this "Hillary was running away from masses of reporters, trying to ditch them en route to a secret fundraiser; and because no one will believe it without proof, there's video.

I have a few thoughts of course.

First, the video is somewhat suspect.  It's hardly the stunning indictment that Hillary haters think it is.

This may or not may be Hillary going 95 mph.  It's certainly someone going 95 mph to catch up with the motorcade, but anymore that this is pure speculation.

Second, yeah it is probably true.  I saw Obama in Iowa a couple of times.  Once, near the caucus, and he was late for a 10am, which was only a second or third stop in a busy day.  The second, another later appearance on the eve of the 2012 election.  How else do you do it?  You book every possible stop you can in a day, and it's rude to leave a cheering audience for your next stop.

Even marginal candidates schedule themselves days where they crisscross the state have unenviable travel logs.

Of course, I will give my standard warning to the Hillary haters who have spent all spring and will spend all summer rallying against Hillary.  Let 2012 be you warning.  You may keep Hillary out of the White House, but you also may elect President O'Malley or Webb.

Lastly, because some will make this a partisan issue, I can't help but bring up one of the state's biggest stories of 2013.  In July of that year, the Governor's vehicle was pulled over and ticketed for going 84mph in a 70.

It may not have been made better by a Lt. Governor who said it was not normal for the Governor to speed, but some times necessary.  While probably true, an apology probably would have been the right course of action.

In which case, the story probably would have went away, had it not ended up the officer who ticketed the governor was abruptly fired.

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Go back in the archives and you know I told you about Joni Ernst before anyone else.

When she modelled herself as the next Sarah Palin (and let's be honest, the Tina Fey as Palin) and went full into the Palin meme, she flung herself into political superstardom.

I wasn't too surprised when she beat a self-made millionaire in the Romney mold (besides, he was just a RINO,right?), but when she beat a popular Democrat for Tom Harkin's vacant US Senate seat, we knew there was no turning back.

Surely, her ceiling is limited, but there has been no indication of this to date.  Perhaps, she has done a good job of becoming Michelle Bachmann by not actually voting on anything.  There's no controversial stances or missteps when you miss 75% of the votes.

I don't believe like Harkin, that Ernst is popular because she's hot like Taylor Swift

Still she's nailed it, which why it was no surprise to me that she was giving the GOP response to the State of the Union.

We also figured she'd go all in, which she did.

Camo heels, anyone?



Or that she would give a downhome Iowa talk about how she wore breadbags on top of her shoes when it was snowing as to keep them dry because they were only good pair.

(As an aside, Ernst who doesn't believe in a minimum wage (at all) and surely is anti-big government above all else, has seen her family benefit in a half a billion dollars of government money)

Which is a story I think we have all heard from our parents and grandparents, how they wore breadbags over their shoes walking to school (Uphill both ways)

How modest.


“You see, growing up, I had only one good pair of shoes. So on rainy school days, my mom would slip plastic bread bags over them to keep them dry,” Ernst said. “But I was never embarrassed. Because the school bus would be filled with rows and rows of young Iowans with bread bags slipped over their feet.”

By the way, every joke you thought of has already been compiled and it is here.

Ernst is 44 which makes me think this anecdote may be false.  It is a good story of Depression-era hard times, but seems to ring false.  Ernst probably did have a rural upbringing, but as I am surrounded by Iowans of similar age, none seem to have experienced this.  They retell the story from their parents and grandparents, but I am having a hard time otherwise.

Iconic Iowa t-shirt maker Raygun, of course is there to capture the moment

Raygun new Bread Bag shirt inspired by Ernst


Still, the buzz on Joni is she is a hit.  By that, i mean she didn't have a catastrophic appearance like Bobby Jindal or Marco Rubio, which in turn is close enough for a hit.

Surely, one day, Ernst-mentum will take a hit, but I don't see that time coming too soon.

bedsitter23: (Default)

Check out any of my recent posts on the 2016 Iowa US Senate race, and you know that I think this could have national implications.

First and foremost, Joni Ernst, a state senator, has risen to national prominence based on tv ads that look like Tina Fey skits.  It's the Sarah Palin playbook, but taken to parody-like extremes.

But it worked.

Mark Jacobs, former CEO of Reliant Energy, looks on paper as the favorite, but has seen a double digit lead over Ernst in February, go the other way, and the 11 point deficit looks insurmountable.

Jacobs, who has a resume like Romney, an easygoingness like Dubya, and looks like Robert Vaughn should have won.  He's not going to, and after months of feel good ads, he's finally forced to fight dirty. His newest ad starts "Some people will do anything to be elected" and shows Ernst putting on her motorcycle helmet, trying to get some "Dukakis in a tank" mojo coming.  He also attacks Ernst vote on raising state fuel taxes (Iowa actually could use the boost in infrastructure revenues, but I am a tax-and-spend liberal) and her biggest weakness (missing 40% of the Iowa Senate's votes.)

(Let t be said, Jacobs is likeable, but if you invested $100 in stock in his company when he took over CEO, you would have $13 when he exited).

Still, Ernst's move has paid big dividends.  If anything, maybe she should have tok it to even more ludicrous extremes.

This being Iowa, there's a Presidential politics component to this. 

The most obvious one is Ernst's turnaround is directly related to the involvement of Sarah Palin.  I think drawing conclusions from here is risky.  I don't know that Palin is even interested in a run, or that this translates into meaningful support, but it is to her credit.

Marco Rubio and Mitt Romney (who has expressed some interest in another run) have also suppored Ernst, though I am not sure there will be meaningful gains from it.

The race got another headline last week when Rick Santorum stepped in to give support to Sam Clovis.

Clovis is a conservative radio show host, and the kind of candidate that is down Santorum's alley.  Clovis seems like the type of person who wil max out at 10-15% of the vote, but Santorums are gonna Santorum, and it's the kind of move that sets up Rick for 2016.  (If you think Santorum can't win Iowa, it might be time to recall that he did win the 2012 caucus).

I don't know Clovis (He's based in a different part of the state) though he looks right out of central casting for 'Conservative talk show' host and he says things like "America is not ready yet for a Black President to get impeached."   See what he did there.

There is a fourth- Matt Whittaker- who is just starting to run ads and who seems to be topping out at 8-10% in polls.  Whittaker is a former college football star turned US attorney- although he is not half as charismatic as that sentence sounds.

Whittaker has received the endorsement of Rick Perry- which may play out well for Rick- as Jacobs's numbers go south and if Ernst would start to tank.

Jacobs has sinced tried to counter these endorsements by making a 'major announcement" of his own last week.  This ended up being the endorsement of Bil Northey is the Secretary of Agriculture (an elected office in Iowa).  You can make an argument that Northey is the most well-liked Republican in the state; though if that 'big announcment' sounds underwhleming, it surely was.
bedsitter23: (Default)
If you have been here long, you know I spend a great time discussing the Presidential election, but generally that is it.

There is a primary election next month here in Iowa which will fill the US Congress seat currently held by retiring Democrat Tom Harkin.

It's a crowded field,led by the former CEO of Reliant Energy Mark Jacobs (the presumptive front runner), state senator Joni Ernst, and three others that include a local Conservative radio host and a former University of Iowa football player.

Jacobs has filled the airwaves for awhile now with his ads of how he grew up as a boy with a newspaper route, which taught him responsibility and service.

Of course, I wouldn't bring this up at all here, but Ernst's commercials start out with her saying she grew up castrating pigs.

Which means she can cut pork.  Hey-Oh!



Ernst is clearly using the Sarah Palin playbook, of course, and political views aside, I am not sure the party will nominate her with Jacobs around, a better resume.

The GOP does love their maverick women but they generally don't love them that much  (Michele Bachman, Sarah Palin, Christine O'Donnell et al seem to have a hit a certain glass ceiling.  Of course, we will have to see how 2016 pans out.  The Democrats generally haven't done much better)

Of course, this being 2014, Ernst has went viral, being commented on by Jimmy Fallon and Stephen Colbert (while others think surely this is another Jimmy Kimmel prank).

Ernst has went all in on this gimmick, and unveiled her RV which says "Honk if you want to make Washington squeal"



Hey-oh!

Joni has taken criticism for her Iowa senate career for missing votes in the state Senate.  She has missed 73 of 105 votes this session, and although she claims her duty in the National Guard takes her away from the Capitol, common sense and her Facebook statuses indicate there's more going on than her one weekend a month.

In comparison, if Ernst were elected, her Senior Senator, Charles Grassley has only missed 36 votes in his 30-plus US Senate career.

This last weekend, Sarah Palin was in town to endorse Ernst, which she called ShePAC, the "Heels on, Gloves Off' tour.

Palin (dressed in local college gear) sold Ernst as a Harley rider who loves her guns and her Country.

I have long decided Palin will not make a run for the Presidency, but 2016 pundits should note attendance of the Palin/Ernst event was around 300- a total much, much lower than anything Palin has drawn in this state in the past.



bedsitter23: (Default)
My favorite news story of the last month (non-Pitbull category) is from Ohio.

The state recently passed a law which bans lying in a political campaign.

I get it.  I mean it seems on the surface, something everyone can get behind, like say, people should be nice to each other.

Reality isn't that simple though, and if one thing we know- it's that politicians lie.  It's up there with death, taxes, and Cher's career as certainties.

The Ohio law makes it a crime to make knowingly or recklessly false statements about political candidates that are intended to help elect or defeat them. Complaints, which can be filed by anyone, are heard by the Ohio Elections Commission, which makes preliminary determinations and can recommend criminal prosecution. The first offense could lead to six months’ imprisonment, the second to disenfranchisement. 

Makes perfect sense, right?  We have seen enough dirty campaigns.  We don't like it.  We have terms like 'swift boating'.  Surely, that should be stopped,

But let's look at the law- which also applies everyone according to the Ohio Attorney General, which means blogs, facebook, etc..

Of course, you probably know where this is headed.  Lying has always been frowned upon, if not outright banned; but what's a lie?

A Conservative Group wanted to take out a billboard against a Democrat contender that said "Shame on Steve Driehaus! Driehaus voted FOR taxpayer-funded abortion.”

Driehaus cited the law and the Billboard company refused to run it.

The anti-abortion group is using the logic that Driehaus voted for the Affordable Care Act which according to their logic was a vote for taxpayer-funded abortion.  The ACA is confusing enough and that great 'taxpayer funded abortion line' isn't true, though certainly ACA is murky enough as it is.

Still, you can see where this is going.  Where do you cross into a "lie"?  Also at what point (as the Attorney General contends) does that is become unconstitutional and violate the First Amendment.

Whether vague, a damned lie, an exaggeration or a lie that you believe to be true, does the law apply to such statements as "Rush Limbaugh is a fat idiot', "Obama hates America", or "After he was shot, Reagan opposed Gun Control like a Boss (Ho ho!).  is it free speech?

The Supreme Court says "Yes".  Thank God, because I lie in my blog all the time.

The Supreme Court says the law banning lying in political campaigns as unconstitutional and lying protected speech.

Now, this is a good story as it is, I suppose; and it gains some from the fact that the Court used Stephen Colbert in it's decision on what truth actually is; but the reason I am sharing this story is because while this was all going on, PJ O'Rourke and the Cato Institute delivered a 24-page brief to the Court to defend lying as free speech.

While it is certainly true, that I don't know if i want to live in a world where politicians can't lie; and even if I did, it would be easier to change the stripes on a zebra, or convince birds not to migrate in winter.  It is as O'Rourke points out a fabric of America.

His brief stats out with the All-Timers

“I am not a crook.”
“Read my lips: no new taxes!”
“I did not have sexual relations with that
woman.”
“Mission accomplished.”
"If you like your health care plan, you can keep it"


He hits the history of mudslinging-  JQ Adams vs Andrew Jackson (the "slave-trading, gambling, brawling murderer")  the Grover Cleveland illegitimate children claim (Ma, ma, Where's Pa), all of the Obama stuff (born in Kenya, Muslim, etc) and the Sally Hemmings problem (an accusation made against Jefferson which would have been condemned by this law if it was applicable at that time, because the truth took two centuries to come out)

O'Rourke ends the brief with a comment about "truthiness" with a line about how Colbert and Jon Stewart will have more of an influence on keeping politicians honest than the Ohio Election Commision ever could.

if you read one legal brief all year (and I may just read the one), make sure it is this one.  Well worth your time for gems like this about the All-American nature of lying politicians and why we must fight to protect it.

After all, where would we be without the
knowledge that Democrats are pinko-communist
flag-burners who want to tax churches and use the
money to fund abortions so they can use the fetal
stem cells to create pot-smoking lesbian ATF agents
who will steal all the guns and invite the UN to take
over America?

Voters have to decide whether we’d be
better off electing Republicans, those hateful,
assault-weapon-wielding maniacs who believe that
George Washington and Jesus Christ incorporated
the nation after a Gettysburg reenactment and that
the only thing wrong with the death penalty is that it
isn’t administered quickly enough to secular-
humanist professors of Chicano studies.
 

bedsitter23: (Default)
It's eight years this week that Eddie Guerrero died. Guerrero from El Paso's most pro famous wrestling family, had a saying in his Heel days- "Cheat to Win".

It's a sentiment that fellow Texan Dave Wilson surely appreciates. Wilson, a white Republican eeked out a victory in a strong Democratic Houston district that's predominately African-American.

This guy:

Dave Wilson, a white candidate, won an election in Texas by pretending to be Black.

Won with this flyer.

Dave Wilson, a white candidate, won an election in Texas by pretending to be Black.

Wilson won by 26 votes by portraying himself as a black man. 

Wilson sent out fliers that featured almost exclusively Black people, all of them smiling. On it, he added the call to action: “Please vote for our friend and neighbor Dave Wilson.” Only the faces are not Wilson’s friends or neighbors, but rather just pictures that he stole off of various websites.

Hey, who needs friends when you have Google Image Search?

He also claimed an endorsement from his cousin Ron Wilson.  Ron Wilson is a prominent black area politician.

Dave now happily says the Ron Wilson he meant was his cousin in Iowa.

One of his mailers said he was "Endorsed by Ron Wilson," which longtime Houston voters might easily interpret as a statement of support from a former state representative of the same name who's also African-American. Fine print beneath the headline says "Ron Wilson and Dave Wilson are cousins," a reference to one of Wilson's relatives living in Iowa.

"He's a nice cousin," Wilson says, suppressing a laugh. "We played baseball in high school together. And he's endorsed me."

Wilson's opponent did say he did counter with his own mailers that included Wilson’s face and warned voters that he was a “right-wing hatemonger” who “advocated bringing back chain gangs to clean highways.”

Wilson is an anti-gay activist who took advantage of the worst case of opportunism ( I recall  the 1986 Illinois election where the ethnic-named candidates lost to LaRouchites) , but hey, I gotta say, now that he's won the election, he's honest.

Wilson says his lies were really no different than any other lawmaker’s lies. “Every time a politician talks, he’s out there deceiving voters,” Wilson admits

bedsitter23: (Default)
I passed through central Illinois a couple of times this summer and this is what is going on.

I wasn't going to make a big deal of it since it is hard to shut up the local idiots (I generally expect Boehner, Ted Cruz and the rest to at least act like grown-ups.  I know, I know), so this is not an indictment of all Republicans by any means, but this is the exact thing that the GOP needs to figure out if it is going to be the party of inclusiveness.

Erika Harold is a Harvard-trained lawyer.  She (as the name implies) is female and black and a Republican, and while this would be a great 'face of the new GOP' story, she is (was?) running in a primary for a state seat.

She is also a former Miss America.

Which means the local party chairman welcomed her to the party by telling a Conservative website ""Now, Miss Queen is being used like a street walker and her pimps are the DEMOCRAT PARTY and RINO REPUBLICANS,"

Even more charmingly, Chairman Allen stated she would lose and end up "working for some law firm that needs to meet their quota for minority hires."

Delightful.

As you may guess, Mr. Allen has since stepped down.

While I don't believe all Republicans think that if an African-American woman shows up in their party that she must be a plant by the Democrats, it is a problem they have.

As is the Tea Party problem.

And by that i mean eating their own.

2004's What's the Matter with Kansas detailed the death of moderate Republicans as Conservatives took over the party.  This was followed by the rise of the Tea Party rising up to try and bring down party stalwarts like Orrin Hatch.

People like Hatch would have served in Congress for decades without any Democrat challenge.  Their only competition came from within. The Tea Party started making its mark within the last two election cycles.

Inevitably, those Tea Partiers are now finding out you can't be a demagogue and serve the People and are now 'Not Tea party enough'.

Adam Kinzinger was elected with the help of Sarah Palin to the strong Republican central Illinois area (the land of Robert Michel)

Now Kinzinger is being primaried- the verb that means that he has been targeted by the Tea Party to have someone to try and beat him in the primary election.  Votes on Syria and the Military Cliff means the guy  so loved last election is now a "“established Republican sweetheart" per his opponent, the local tea party chairman.  While Kinzinger maintains the GOP can make gains by welcoming younger voters and minorities, by not “going on cable TV all the time and yelling and screaming” and by accepting that it’s a big party and “we’re not going to agree on everything.”

There's little doubt that electins like that will continue to divide and hurt the party for the next couple of election cycles.  If you get elected with Tea party support but don't agree with them on every single issue, then 'primarying' is your fate. 

Seemingly, one would try not deviate from that segment's principles, but if that is the case- then why is it that the people most beholden to those principles- Allen West, Steve King, Joe Walsh (not that one) Bill Brady, Bob Vander Plats, Michele Bachmann,  and Todd Akin are not electable at statewide and National races.

What happens in these elections will be interesting to see.

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