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[personal profile] bedsitter23
I am getting close to going to bed.  It's going to be called before 10PM, I think, or at least 10:30 as Math becomes Romney's enemy. 

Iowa was one of nine states that were supposed to decide the election.  Interestingly, it looks like most of those 9 will end up Blue as Ohio, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and here in Iowa seem to be solid in Obama's column, and Florida, Nevada and Colorado likely will follow suit.

As I go to bed, Obama leads Iowa with a sizable lead  57-42, much wider than the 5 percentage points the Register had this weekend.

Which means it might be a good time to reflect on my poll.  you remember the yard sign poll which gave a preference to Obama.

There were 10 Obama signs and 8 Romney signs with one errant Ron Paul sign thrown in.

Let's do some math:

We throw out the Paul sign (Paul is not even on the ballot) and we get 10 of 18 total signs in support of Obama.  10 over 18 equals 55.55.  Rounded up is 56%

Call that 56% in support  for Obama and you will see I predicted the election in Iowa to 1 percentage point.

The Register as famous as it is, put Obama's support at 47% and gave him a 5 point lead. 

I gave you 56-44.  Remember that.

Don't worry.  My first 2016 commentary starts tomorrow, so be sure that you tune in so you have all the answers first,

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