The Des Moines Register released its poll this week. The Register is known for its long-standing history as a barometer as what is actually going to happen. (Remember in December when they said Romney would stomp Santorum 24%-15%? Well, okay, that may not have been their fault).
Obama 49%
Romney 45%
Other 4%
So, what can we conclude from this?
Well, simple math shows that only 2% fall in undecided. Now, 10% did say they were capable of changing their minds, which still makes things in play for both camps.
No info is given on who the Other are, though I suspect that's largely Gary Johnson, though Virgil Goode could get some of that Far Right 'Anyone but Mitt' support.
Recent polling by other groups are in line with this. WeAskAmerica has Obama 48.7-45.9 with Johnson polling 1.2% and 4.2% undecided in Iowa. While ARG shows it even 48-48 in a poll that they put out this week.
Rasmussen had Romney ahead last month, but now show Obama ahead 49-47 with 15 other, 2% undecided.
The Obama camp has brought in the big guns. Bruce Springsteen is performing a free concert in Ames (Romney's most famous Jersey support comes from Chris Christie: Advantage: Obama)
In recent weeks, Ashley Judd, Justin "I'm a Mac" Long, Alfre Woodard (who I only know from True Blood, but is apparently important) and Jon Bon Jovi (local news called him "80s rocker" Jon Bon Jovi. Burn!) have made trips here in support of Barry& Joe.
Personally, I don't believe celebrity endorsements mean anything (although the Justin Long visit almost makes me consider voting for Gary Johnson), but they do drum up support around the party base.
Meanwhile, the Romney campaign has been adamant that they are sending no celebrities to Iowa.
this proves a few things:
1-No celebrities like Mitt
2- Okay, that isn't true. These people do. It's the usual suspects- lead singers of country bands and 80s arena rockers. Once you get past them, it's Niki Minaj, Scott Baio, Jerry Bruckheimer, and WWE CEO Vince McMahon (which is funny because Linda McMahon is a Republican candidate for Senate and she has distanced herself from Romney)
3-Okay, Gene Simmons likes Romney, but he doesn't do anything for free
4-Porn Star Jenna Jameson said she supported Romney, but she may have been joking.
Which is all well and good since when Romney does get celebrity help, he forgets to ask them exactly what they have planned.
Besides who needs celebrities, Iowans don't like that stuff. You see, Iowans like politicians who pose in front of tractors.